The United States seems to have entered in the poll mode well in advance before the final show actually begins for the presidential elections in 2016.
But when it comes to the US presidential elections 2016, the one name that is largely debated is that of former Secretary of State, Hilary Clinton.
Clinton has, however, said that she will reveal her poll ambitions and whether she will be contesting the 2016 polls in early 2015.
Journalist John Judis, in his piece in The New Republic, made an unfortunate submission. According to Judis, if go by the political history of the country, Clinton is very unlikely to win the elections slated for 2016.
“History shows that Hillary Clinton is unlikely to win the presidency in 2016” a headline of one of Judis’ articles reads.
According to Judis, he has several arguments that would support his theory.
The Republicans have done well in the midterm elections, but there exists huge speculations that they have a demographic disadvantage in the election if the predominately Democratic supporters, who stayed at home in 2014, turn out in large numbers for exercising their franchise. The fact can’t be denied that an expected surge in turnout will bring benefits for the Democrats, but they would still fall short for the election of another Democratic president.
Going down the memory lane, if we look at the American presidents since World War II, when a same political party occupied the White House for two terms consecutively, the candidate of that party failed to claim success in the next election six out of seven times.
But some political analysts disown Judis’ this submission, saying he has either miscounted or twisted the facts in order to strengthen his argument. The correct figure would be, they say five out of six times of the two-terms-and-out pattern.
The political masters further add that two years before a presidential poll, the hurdles are against any contender for the post.
Democrat Jim Webb on Wednesday opened his innings for the presidential race after officially announcing an exploratory committee which will work in the direction of the slated polls.
Expressing his sentiments to the Americans, the 68-year-old veteran wrote a four-page letter on his website, Webb2016.com.
In his letter, he said: “The people of United States want positive leader and visionary leadership on whom they can trust, at a time when our country is facing historic challenges. I made this decision after reflecting on numerous political commentaries and listening to many knowledgeable people. I look forward to listening and talking with more people in the coming months as I decide whether or not to run.”
But Clinton’s case is different as she hasn’t even entered the field formally.
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